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Journal · Evidence

Actively open-minded thinking, and why we measure it

Out of a long list of things you could measure about how someone decides, this one has the best ratio of predictive value to number of questions.

Evidence · 5 min read
What is actively open-minded thinking? A thinking disposition characterised by actively seeking evidence and arguments against your own position and weighting them fairly. It is measurable with a short scale and predicts belief updating and forecasting accuracy.

The construct comes from Baron's work on good thinking, with scale development by Stanovich and West and a short form validated by Haran, Ritov and Mellers in 2013. It is not a measure of intelligence and not a measure of open-mindedness in the social sense. It is specifically about how you treat evidence that cuts against you.

Why it earns its place in a four-minute onboarding

Someone who goes looking for the counter-argument needs a different board from someone who does not.

How it changes a board

Score low and the board leans towards falsification and precedent: the counter-argument has to arrive from outside, because it will not be generated from inside. Score high and the useful additions are different, because you already challenge yourself. What tends to be missing is landing it: execution, constraint, compression into a call someone can act on.

The honest limit

It is still a self-report scale, and self-report has a ceiling. Short forms trade accuracy for completion. We use it because the alternative measures worth having take far longer than anyone will spend before seeing value, and because the profile keeps getting corrected by what you actually do in sessions.

Five Peers editorial note. Sources named in the text.

The one dimension we measure head-on, and we say why.

Compose my board